Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002655 0.002836 0.003031 0.003258 0.003517 0.003807 0.004158
2024-12-22 0.002414 0.002664 0.002950 0.003308 0.003751 0.004295 0.005032
2024-12-29 0.002254 0.002547 0.002899 0.003363 0.003980 0.004803 0.006052
2025-01-05 0.002086 0.002394 0.002777 0.003301 0.004034 0.005080 0.006826
2025-01-12 0.001932 0.002242 0.002635 0.003188 0.003991 0.005198 0.007382
2025-01-19 0.001843 0.002163 0.002576 0.003178 0.004085 0.005533 0.008419
2025-01-26 0.001696 0.001998 0.002392 0.002970 0.003854 0.005296 0.008278
2025-02-02 0.001648 0.001959 0.002372 0.002994 0.003983 0.005686 0.009596
2025-02-09 0.001627 0.001954 0.002399 0.003087 0.004231 0.006349 0.011964
2025-02-16 0.001584 0.001917 0.002376 0.003102 0.004348 0.006787 0.014120
2025-02-23 0.001574 0.001924 0.002415 0.003216 0.004658 0.007727 0.019163
2025-03-02 0.001521 0.001866 0.002356 0.003165 0.004653 0.007948 0.021736
2025-03-09 0.001462 0.001801 0.002287 0.003101 0.004630 0.008164 0.025134
2025-03-16 0.001438 0.001787 0.002294 0.003165 0.004875 0.009196 0.038530
2025-03-23 0.001415 0.001771 0.002297 0.003223 0.005121 0.010389 0.070133
2025-03-30 0.001368 0.001718 0.002239 0.003167 0.005110 0.010769 0.104432
2025-04-06 0.001314 0.001653 0.002158 0.003063 0.004974 0.010657 0.126516
2025-04-13 0.001284 0.001621 0.002130 0.003053 0.005056 0.011408 0.378305
2025-04-20 0.001217 0.001533 0.002007 0.002859 0.004679 0.010231 0.165104
2025-04-27 0.001198 0.001517 0.002000 0.002882 0.004826 0.011230 2.335932
2025-05-04 0.001194 0.001522 0.002025 0.002969 0.005145 0.013272 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001175 0.001504 0.002014 0.002983 0.005281 0.014621 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001175 0.001514 0.002048 0.003090 0.005696 0.018266 NaN